What is driving it today
Official Trump's CryptoKeyhole Fear & Greed reading of 31 is 19 points below neutral (50). Pushing it towards greed: taker flow (score 73, +3.1 points) and attention (score 91, +2.7 points). Pulling it towards fear: price momentum (score 2, −16.2 points), funding rates (score 31, −3.9 points), long/short ratio (score 4, −3.1 points) and volatility (score 39, −2.2 points). Strongest signal: price momentum. Price −29.7% against its 30-day average and −41.0% against its 90-day average. By group: price action 16 (extreme fear), derivatives positioning 40 (fear) and attention 91 (extreme greed).
| Component | Score | Leans to | Weight | Today's reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price momentum | 2 | Fear | 33% | Price −29.7% against its 30-day average and −41.0% against its 90-day average |
| Volatility | 39 | Fear | 20% | 103% a year (30-day volatility of daily returns, annualised) |
| Funding rates | 31 | Fear | 20% | −0.0105% per 8 hours (7-day mean of the median venue) |
| Taker flow | 73 | Greed | 13% | Takers bought 49.6% of Binance volume over 7 days (spot and perpetuals) |
| Long/short ratio | 4 | Fear | 7% | 2.47 accounts long for every account short (7-day mean), on Bybit |
| Attention | 91 | Greed | 7% | Wikipedia views 1.47× their 90-day average (7-day mean) |
Not in this reading: open interest (we have no Bybit perpetual open-interest record for it); holder profit (no on-chain profit measure: we do not run this network's node); exchange flows (no on-chain exchange flows: we do not run this network's node); options implied volatility (its options have no implied volatility index; Deribit publishes one for Bitcoin and Ether). Their weight is shared among the components above.
The component chart shows each component's score day by day; the market page compares every coin.
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The Official Trump index over time
The Official Trump index between two dates
By CryptoKeyhole's daily readings, from 7 April 2026 to today, the Official Trump Fear & Greed Index went from 26 (fear) to 31 (fear) so far, up 5 points. Its highest reading in that span was 70 (greed) on 9 August 2026, and its lowest 22 (extreme fear) on 11 April 2026. It averaged 48 (neutral), with 8 days in extreme fear and 0 days in extreme greed.
- 7 Apr 2026 reading
- 26
- final · fear
- Today so far
- 31
- today · fear
- Change
- +5
- points, 217 days
- Highest reading
- 70
- 9 Aug 2026 · greed
- Lowest reading
- 22
- 11 Apr 2026 · extreme fear
- Average
- 48
- neutral
- Days in extreme fear
- 8
- of 217 days
- Days in extreme greed
- 0
- of 217 days
Each reading is one UTC day's value, labelled as our chart labels it (final); the highest and lowest are closed days only, never today so far.
Each span runs from the first reading of its first month to the last reading of its last, both months included. Choose one to see it in the picker above.
Within a year
Between any two months of 2026
| From | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April | +3 | +12 | −1 | +17 | +30 | +36 | +24 | +5 | ||||
| May | +12 | −1 | +17 | +30 | +36 | +24 | +5 | |||||
| June | −16 | +2 | +15 | +21 | +9 | −10 | ||||||
| July | +9 | +22 | +28 | +16 | −3 | |||||||
| August | +11 | +17 | +5 | −14 | ||||||||
| September | +6 | −6 | −25 | |||||||||
| October | −15 | −34 | ||||||||||
| November | −32 |
What followed fear and greed
CryptoKeyhole's back-test of the Official Trump Fear & Greed Index since 2026: Official Trump's price was higher 90 days later on 54% of all days (median +8.0%); the extreme zones have too few days yet to read much into.
| Reading | Days | Median change after 30 days | Higher after 30 days | Median change after 90 days | Higher after 90 days | Median change after a year | Higher after a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extreme fear (few days) | 8 4 spells | −7.4% | 25% | +34.1% | 62% | – | – |
| Fear | 71 12 spells | −13.9% | 3% | +5.2% | 52% | – | – |
| Neutral | 49 20 spells | −10.0% | 24% | +9.4% | 52% | – | – |
| Greed | 59 14 spells | −13.3% | 36% | +8.0% | 62% | – | – |
| Extreme greed (few days) | 0 0 spells | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| All days | 187 | −13.0% | 20% | +8.0% | 54% | – | – |
Every closed day since 7 April 2026 counts once, by its zone. The market page sets out how the back-test is counted; past results are not a forecast.
How it works
Official Trump's index is the weighted mean of its components today (price momentum, volatility, funding rates, taker flow, long/short ratio, attention), each scored from 0 to 100 against its own past two years: below 25 is extreme fear, 25 to 44 fear, 45 to 55 neutral, 56 to 75 greed and above 75 extreme greed. The market page explains how each component is calculated, how to read the index and how it differs from other fear and greed indexes.
The last 30 days
| Day | Index | Zone | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 November 2026 (today so far) | 31 | Fear | −1 |
| 9 November 2026 | 32 | Fear | +1 |
| 8 November 2026 | 31 | Fear | −3 |
| 7 November 2026 | 34 | Fear | 0 |
| 6 November 2026 | 34 | Fear | +2 |
| 5 November 2026 | 32 | Fear | −6 |
| 4 November 2026 | 38 | Fear | −19 |
| 3 November 2026 | 57 | Greed | +1 |
| 2 November 2026 | 56 | Greed | −7 |
| 1 November 2026 | 63 | Greed | +13 |
| 31 October 2026 | 50 | Neutral | −3 |
| 30 October 2026 | 53 | Neutral | +8 |
| 29 October 2026 | 45 | Neutral | −14 |
| 28 October 2026 | 59 | Greed | +2 |
| 27 October 2026 | 57 | Greed | 0 |
| 26 October 2026 | 57 | Greed | +4 |
| 25 October 2026 | 53 | Neutral | −1 |
| 24 October 2026 | 54 | Neutral | 0 |
| 23 October 2026 | 54 | Neutral | 0 |
| 22 October 2026 | 54 | Neutral | −8 |
| 21 October 2026 | 62 | Greed | +3 |
| 20 October 2026 | 59 | Greed | +3 |
| 19 October 2026 | 56 | Greed | −4 |
| 18 October 2026 | 60 | Greed | −3 |
| 17 October 2026 | 63 | Greed | −3 |
| 16 October 2026 | 66 | Greed | −3 |
| 15 October 2026 | 69 | Greed | +6 |
| 14 October 2026 | 63 | Greed | +5 |
| 13 October 2026 | 58 | Greed | +3 |
| 12 October 2026 | 55 | Neutral | −3 |
What its history shows
- Over the past 12 months: high 70 (greed) on 9 August 2026, low 22 (extreme fear) on 11 April 2026, average 48.
- Highest reading: 70 on 9 August 2026. Lowest: 22 on 11 April 2026.
- Across all 218 days since 7 April 2026: extreme fear 4% of days, fear 36%, neutral 26%, greed 34%, extreme greed 0%.
| Year | Average | Range | Days of extreme fear | Days of extreme greed | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 48 | 22–70 | 8 | 0 | 218 |
Official Trump's longest run of extreme fear lasted 4 days, from 5 June 2026 to 8 June 2026, while its price went from $1.60 to $1.69; its last day of extreme fear was 28 June 2026.
The Official Trump index by month
CryptoKeyhole's daily readings month by month (00:00 UTC days; the lowest and highest are the first day with that reading):
2026 by month
| Month | Average | Lowest | Highest | Days of extreme fear | Days of extreme greed | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November so far | 41 Fear | 31 8 Nov | 63 1 Nov | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| October | 59 Greed | 45 29 Oct | 69 15 Oct | 0 | 0 | 31 |
| September | 56 Greed | 48 15 Sep | 62 8 Sep | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| August | 60 Greed | 45 1 Aug | 70 9 Aug | 0 | 0 | 31 |
| July | 52 Neutral | 34 1 Jul | 69 26 Jul | 0 | 0 | 31 |
| June | 34 Fear | 23 5 Jun | 55 13 Jun | 5 | 0 | 30 |
| May | 38 Fear | 26 1 May | 57 12 May | 0 | 0 | 31 |
| April | 36 Fear | 22 11 Apr | 54 22 Apr | 3 | 0 | 24 |
Cite, download and reuse
Cite this reading
CryptoKeyhole Official Trump Fear & Greed Index: 31 out of 100 (fear) at 04:00 UTC on 10 November 2026. https://cryptokeyhole.com/fear-and-greed-index/trump/
The readings and their history are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0, crediting CryptoKeyhole with a link to this page. The history is recalculated from our charts as they are published now, so a corrected input also corrects the days it touches.
Questions
What is the Official Trump Fear and Greed Index?
A daily reading from 0 to 100 of how fearful or greedy the Official Trump market is, calculated by CryptoKeyhole from TRUMP's own price momentum, volatility, derivatives positioning, order flow and, where we have them, on-chain and attention data. Each part is ranked against its own past two years.
Is the Official Trump market fearful or greedy today?
The reading at the top of this page answers it, with its zone. It updates every hour; today's value is a partial reading until the day closes at 00:00 UTC.
How is it different from the usual crypto fear and greed index?
It is calculated separately for each coin, from our own market and derivatives data rather than social media, and every component, weight and reading is published on the page.
Open the interactive chartComponent scoresEvery coin's indexCreate a free account
Readings on this page are calculated by CryptoKeyhole from its own price indexes of public exchange markets, its collection of the venues' public derivatives data and Wikimedia's public page views, and are refreshed every hour; the method section above gives each source.