BTC: Power-Law Model — 2019 Calibration

Bitcoin Power-Law Model — 2019 Calibration was $189,636.92 on 7 Nov 2026 (latest daily value).

A modeled USD/BTC price from a published 2019 power-law calibration against days elapsed since 3 January 2009.

Why use it. Provide a fixed, deterministic power-law curve against which observed price can be compared. How to read it. This is a descriptive calibration, not a market observation, fair value, support guarantee, confidence band or forecast; no future projection is shown. Its coefficients were published on 2019-09-03, so earlier points apply them retrospectively. Open or unsealed days are undefined; sealed days fewer than six blocks deep remain provisional. A missing interior day stays a gap without resetting the age clock. Viewport and smoothing choices never reset the fixed calendar origin.

Calculation. Modeled USD/BTC = 10^(-17.01593313) × d^(5.84509376), with fixed coefficients that are not refitted. For the day plotted at D 00:00, d counts elapsed whole days from 2009-01-03 00:00 UTC to that day's ending boundary, so genesis day uses d = 1; this daily-boundary convention is ours. Evaluated as exp(A × ln 10 + B × ln d) with 40 significant digits, half-even. Native daily supply rows from our own validated Bitcoin Core node establish history and finality but do not enter the formula.

Free tool. Bitcoin power law chart, live, with its method.