BTC: Trader Realized Price Bands (1–3 Month Holders)

Shown as its 2019–2022 sample; the latest readings and full history are included with Plus.

The cost basis of short-term traders, the 1–3 month band of BTC Realized Price by Age: the average price at which the bitcoin last moved 30 to 89 whole UTC days before the day was acquired, with fixed bands at 0.70, 0.85, 1.30, 1.60 times it.

Why use it. Coins that last moved one to three months ago belong mostly to active traders, so their realized price is the average entry of the most active money. In uptrends the price has tended to hold near it and in downtrends to stall under it, and stretching far above it has marked rallies that later cooled. How to read it. Price above the trader realized price means recent buyers are in profit on average, below it at a loss. The 1.30 and 1.60 lines mark stretched rallies, the 0.85 and 0.70 lines deep losses for recent money, which have come near local lows. The bands are fixed round multiples, not fitted to history and not forecasts.

Calculation. Trader realized price = the published 1–3 month line of Realized Price by Age (realized value of the band ÷ its holdings with a cost basis). Bands = trader realized price × 0.70, 0.85, 1.30, 1.60. Daily values; a day without the band's value has none. Realized prices are computed from our own validated Bitcoin Core node: each unspent coin is valued at the price at the start of the UTC day it was created. BTC/USD closes are the site's admitted daily closes (The Bitcoin Time Machine, CC BY 4.0, until 2 October 2026, then quotes recorded from Alternative.me). Values for closed days are provisional, like their inputs, and change if an input is revised; the open day is a partial from the latest hourly quote and the inputs' own partials, recomputed every ten minutes.